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央行放水节前降准预期升温 转债或吸引资金

2015-01-06 14:16:15 广州日报

YANGXINGZUONIHUIGOU1300YIYUANHUANJIEZIJINJINZHANG

ZUORI,RENMINYINXINGYILILVZHAOBIAOFANGSHIKAIZHANLE1300YIYUANNIHUIGOUCAOZUO,CAOZUOQIXIANWEI7TIAN,ZHONGBIAOLILV2.25%。DUANQIZIJINMIANZHOURANSHOUJIN,FENXIRENSHIRENWEIJINQIRENMINBIBIANZHISHITOUJIAZHONG,ZIJINWAILIUJIXIANGMINGXIAN,TUOKUANLEJIANGZHUNDEKONGJIAN。

SHISHISHANG,2015NIAN12YUEYANGXINGZIJINTOUFANGLIDUFEICHANGYOUXIAN,CHUYUJINGHUILONGZHUANGTAI,DANZIJINMIANZHENGTIMEIYOUSHOUDAOTAIDARAODONG。JINQI,LIANRENMINBIDAFUBIANZHI,JIASHANGWAIHUIZHANKUANZHONGXINDAFUJIANSHAO,ZIBENWAILIUYALIYOUKAISHIJIAJU,TOUZIZHEDANYOUGUONEILIUDONGXING。TONGSHIDIEJIACHUNJIEQIANZIJINXUQIUJIAODADENGYINSUDEYINGXIANG,DUOJIAJIGOUFENXIRENWEI,YUJI2016NIAN1YUEYANGXINGRENGYOUJINXINGJIANGZHUNCAOZUODEBIYAOXING。

YANGXING5RISHANGWUKAIZHAN1300YIYUANNIHUIGOUCAOZUO,QIXIAN7TIAN,YUJICAOZUOLILVJIANGJIXUCHIWENYU2.25%。JUTONGJI,BENZHOUGONGKAISHICHANGJINYOU100YIYUANNIHUIGOUDAOQI,WUYANGPIAOHEZHENGHUIGOUDAOQI。DAOQILIANGJIAOSHAO,WEIYANGXINGKAIZHANJINGTOUFANGTIGONGLEBIANLI。SHICHANGRENSHIBIAOSHI,JINJIRIHUOBISHICHANGZHOURANSHOUJIN,YANGXINGFANGLIANGKAIZHANNIHUIGOUCAOZUOZAIQINGLIZHIZHONG。

跨年后资金面偏紧

GENJUTONGJI,2015NIAN12YUEGONGKAISHICHANGCAOZUOJINGHUILONG200YIYUAN,TONGSHIYOU800YIYUANGUOKUXIANJINDAOQI,YANGXINGWEIKAIZHANXINCAOZUO,JINGHUILONG800YIYUAN。2015NIAN12YUEYANGXINGJINXINGLE1000YIYUAN6GEYUEQIDEMLFCAOZUO,DANGYUEGONGYOU1300YIYUANDAOQI,DANGYUEMLFCAOZUOJINGHUILONG300YIYUAN。

嘉宝棋牌FENXIRENWEI,SUIKUAGUOLENIANZHONGKAOHESHIDIAN,4RIDEZIJINMIANRENGBUJIANHUINUAN。MINSHENGZHENGQUANYANJIUYUANGUDINGSHOUYIZUFUZERENLIQILINFENXIRENWEIYUANDANHOUZIJINMIANLVEXIANJINZHANG,YANGXINGCHUSHOU1300YINIHUIGOUWEIWENZIJINMIAN。DUANDUANJINZHANGKENENGYUWAIZHANCHIXUJIANSHAODELEIJIXIAOYINGYOUGUAN,JIADAGONGKAISHICHANGCAOZUOLIDUYIZAIDUICHONGWAIHUIZHANKUANDEJIANSHAOLIUXIADEJICHUHUOBIQUEKOU。

转债或吸引资金

DUIYUDUANQIZIJINMIANZHOURANSHOUJIN,FENXIRENSHIRENWEISHIDUOZHONGYINSUDIEJIASUOZHI。SHOUXIAN,RENMINBIDUIMEIYUANCHIXUBIANZHI,ZIJINWAILIUDEFUMIANXIAOYINGBUDUANJILEI,TEBIESHIZUIJINJIGEJIAOYIRI,RENMINBIBIANZHISHITOUJIAZHONG,LIANHUILVCHIXUZHONGCUO,ERAGU、BGUDENGRENMINBIZICHANJUNCHUXIANYICHANGBODONG,SHICHANGDUIZIJINWAILIUDEDANYOUJINYIBUJIASHEN。QICI,XINGUFAXINGXINGUIZHENGSHISHISHI,YOUGUANDIANRENWEI2016NIANSHOUPIIPOYIJINGBUYUAN,QIDONGSHIDIANJIANGZAOYUYUQI。

ZAICI,SANYIZHUANZHAI、GUOMAOZHUANZHAIJIEZHONGERZHI,FAXINGZONGE73YIYUAN,JIANYUZHIQIANZHUANZHAIDAXINDEYOUYIBIAOXIAN,HUOXIYINDALIANGZIJINCANYUSHENGOU。ZUIHOU,YOUXIAOXICHENG,JINQIYOUBUFENMLFDAOQI,DANSHANGWEIBEIXUZUO,ERYANGXINGZAINIANQIANZUIHOUYIGEJIAOYIRIZANTINGGONGKAISHICHANGNIHUIGOUCAOZUO,DAJILESHICHANGDUIHUOBIZHENGCEDELEGUANYUQI。

MINSHENGZHENGQUANGUDINGSHOUYIBULIQILINRENWEI,NIHUIGOUNANTIDAIJIANGZHUN。NIHUIGOUSHUYUDUANQILIUDONGXINGTOUFANGGONGJU,QIECUNZAIZIJINCHENGBEN,ZHINENGQIDAODUANQIHUANJIELIUDONGXINGJINZHANGDEZUOYONG,ZHENZHENGDUICHONGWAIHUIZHANKUANXIAJIANGHAISHIYAOKAOJIANGZHUN。

  业内观点

JIANGZHUNHUOYIJIANZAIXIANSHANG

“JINQI,RENMINBIHUILVCHIXUBIANZHI,TEBIESHILIANZAIANRENMINBIHUICHAKUODA,YOUKENENGDAOZHIZIBENLIUCHU,YOUBIYAOTONGGUOGONGKAISHICHANGCAOZUOLAIWEICHIKUANSONGDEZIJINMIAN。JINRIGUSHILIANXUXIADIE,JIUFANYINGLESHICHANGDUIYURENMINBIBIANZHIKENENGDAOZHIZIBENLIUCHUDEKONGHUANGQINGXU。”HUAXIAYINXINGFAZHANYANJIUBUZHANLVESHIFUZERENYANGCHIRENWEI,GENJULISHIJINGYAN,LINIANLAICHUNJIELINJIN,XIANJINXUQIUZENGJIAYEHUITUIGAOYINXINGJIANSHICHANGZIJINJINZHANGCHENGDU,YOUBIYAOTIQIANTOUFANGZIJINQUEBAOLILVPINGWEN。

MINSHENGZHENGQUANGUDINGSHOUYIBUGUANQINGYOUYEFENXIRENWEI,KAOLVDAOYINWAIHUIZHANKUANXIAJIANGCHANSHENGDEJICHUHUOBIQUEKOUYOUCHIXUXING,QIEDUANDUANYIJINGKAISHIZHIYUEZHANGDUANXIAXINGDEFUDU,TONGGUOJIANGZHUNZHUDONGJIXUYADIDUANDUANLILVDESHIDIANKENENGHUIFASHENGZAICHUNJIEQIAN。

ZAIMINSHENGZHENGQUANKANLAI,YANGXINGYOUKENENGXUYAOZAICHUNJIEQIANJIANGZHUNDEYALIZHUYAOLAIZIYUHUILVDUAN。SHUJUXIANSHI,RENMINBIHUILVDUANDEXIAXINGYALIJINQIFEICHANGMINGXIAN。JINLAI,RENMINBIWAIHUIJIAOYISHICHANGCHUXIANJIAODAPAOYA。ZUORI,LIANRENMINBIDUIMEIYUANKUODADIEFUZHI0.27%,BAO6.6480,ZAICHUANG2009NIANYILAIXINDI。

民生证券表示,汇率贬值与资本外流对超储的消耗短期内很难扭转,这在流动性供给端制约短端利率进一步下行,后续短端利率能否继续下一个中枢需央行主动引导。目前看,短端已经在制约长端下降,且外汇占款流出对基础货币负面冲击有持续性,降准或已箭在弦上。 (文/广州日报记者李婧暄)

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